Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.1% vs Pinto 50.7% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 63.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 63.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 52.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Dowd
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Dowd
Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
2
Dowd
Pinto
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
50.2% (520)
+1.5%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
68.0% (25)
-68.0%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
49.4% (89)
-7.8%
On power play, Pinto has a +68.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Dowd is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (320).
Dowd shoots right. Pinto is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Home / Away
Dowd
Pinto
Home
48.6% (451)
48.8% (301)
Away
49.5% (416)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Dowd
Pinto
P1
49.1%
51.2%
P2
47.3%
48.9%
P3
51.4%
53.3%
OT
30.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.1%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 11:26 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |