Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lewis on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.7% vs Lewis 43.2% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 96.8%
Defensive zone
Lewis 71.8%
Neutral zone
Lewis 79.6%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 78.1%
21.9%
78.1%
Dowd
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Dowd
Lewis
Last 9: Dowd 2-7 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
Dowd
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Dowd
Lewis
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
4
Dowd
Lewis
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (6,009)
43.2% (2,347)
+9.2%
Power Play
56.1% (164)
51.9% (108)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (1,635)
38.6% (365)
+5.5%
On even strength, Dowd has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Dowd is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,675).
Dowd shoots right. Lewis is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Dowd
Lewis
Home
51.9% (3,897)
44.1% (1,395)
Away
49.5% (3,912)
41.8% (1,428)
By Period
Dowd
Lewis
P1
51.7%
42.8%
P2
50.4%
43.9%
P3
50.3%
41.9%
OT
45.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 09:38 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 2 | 18:30 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 10:01 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 01:59 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 3 | 05:52 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 3 | 08:50 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |