Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Lewis 44.4% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 88.8%
Defensive zone
Dowd 69.9%
Neutral zone
Dowd 53.0%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Dowd
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dowd
Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Lewis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
Dowd
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
45.7% (210)
+3.5%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
71.4% (7)
-13.1%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
33.7% (95)
+10.3%
On power play, Lewis has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Dowd is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Dowd shoots right. Lewis is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Home / Away
Dowd
Lewis
Home
46.3% (492)
48.8% (166)
Away
49.8% (532)
35.6% (146)
By Period
Dowd
Lewis
P1
49.1%
37.9%
P2
48.2%
46.7%
P3
46.9%
42.7%
Final 5 min
45.7%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2024 | 1 | 09:38 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 29, 2023 | 2 | 18:30 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |