Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Lewis 47.7% (+3.4%)
Offensive zone
Lewis 89.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 67.1%
Neutral zone
Lewis 50.8%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Dowd
Lewis
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
46.0% (189)
+6.2%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
100.0% (2)
-40.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
42.9% (7)
+1.1%
On power play, Lewis has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Dowd is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Dowd shoots right. Lewis is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Home / Away
Dowd
Lewis
Home
51.5% (619)
43.3% (90)
Away
48.1% (576)
49.1% (108)
By Period
Dowd
Lewis
P1
51.7%
46.9%
P2
51.6%
46.3%
P3
47.0%
46.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
46.5%