Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lewis on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 51.6% vs Lewis 47.8% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lewis 68.0%
Defensive zone
Lewis 59.6%
Neutral zone
Lewis 69.0%
Result
Trevor Lewis favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Dowd
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Dowd
Lewis
Last 6: Dowd 1-5 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
Dowd
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Dowd
Lewis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
3
Dowd
Lewis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (381)
46.5% (114)
+4.7%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
33.3% (3)
+66.7%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (89)
42.9% (7)
+11.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Dowd is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Dowd shoots right. Lewis is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Dowd
Lewis
Home
54.6% (218)
48.7% (78)
Away
49.6% (254)
41.3% (46)
By Period
Dowd
Lewis
P1
50.6%
43.8%
P2
55.1%
45.9%
P3
50.0%
48.7%
Final 5 min
56.4%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.9%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 10:01 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 1 | 01:59 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 3 | 05:52 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 3 | 02:31 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 2 | 10:42 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |