Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.1% vs Kozak 49.7% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
Kozak 54.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 67.9%
Neutral zone
Kozak 51.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Dowd
Kozak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (644)
49.3% (294)
+2.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
60.0% (5)
-60.0%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (221)
50.0% (40)
-8.4%
On power play, Kozak has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Dowd shoots right. Kozak is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Dowd
Kozak
Home
48.6% (451)
45.5% (145)
Away
49.5% (416)
52.6% (194)
By Period
Dowd
Kozak
P1
49.1%
53.4%
P2
47.3%
50.0%
P3
51.4%
44.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
49.6%