Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 51.4%). Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dowd wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 50.8% vs Nylander 51.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nylander 77.7%
Defensive zone
Dowd 74.6%
Neutral zone
Nylander 54.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Dowd
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Dowd
Nylander
Last 6: Dowd 4-2 Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
2
Dowd
Nylander
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
0
Dowd
Nylander
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Nylander
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (343)
51.7% (574)
-0.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
47.9% (73)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (51)
66.7% (3)
-19.6%
On penalty kill, Nylander has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Dowd is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (129).
Dowd shoots right. Nylander is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Dowd
Nylander
Home
43.0% (172)
51.8% (336)
Away
57.1% (224)
51.0% (314)
By Period
Dowd
Nylander
P1
47.4%
53.6%
P2
60.6%
44.4%
P3
44.7%
55.4%
OT
33.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.0%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2018 | OT | 04:14 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2018 | OT | 03:05 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 16:38 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 1 | 12:51 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |