Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.9% vs 49.7%). Look for Nylander on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Nylander 49.8% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nylander 95.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 81.5%
Neutral zone
Dowd 51.7%
Result
William Nylander favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Dowd
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Dowd
Nylander
Last 7: Dowd 3-4 Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
3
Dowd
Nylander
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
1
Dowd
Nylander
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
48.9% (133)
+3.3%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
55.0% (20)
+5.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Dowd is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (362).
Dowd shoots right. Nylander is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Home / Away
Dowd
Nylander
Home
51.5% (619)
48.6% (105)
Away
48.1% (576)
52.1% (48)
By Period
Dowd
Nylander
P1
51.7%
52.1%
P2
51.6%
46.3%
P3
47.0%
50.0%
OT
22.2%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 16:45 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 14:27 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 13, 2024 | OT | 03:10 | Defensive | William Nylander |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | William Nylander |