Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Dowd wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Nylander shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 53.3% vs Nylander 50.9% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nylander 80.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 85.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 56.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Dowd
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Dowd
Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
1
Dowd
Nylander
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Nylander
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (771)
49.2% (59)
+6.2%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
66.7% (3)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (165)
100.0% (3)
-54.5%
On penalty kill, Nylander has a +54.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Dowd shoots right. Nylander is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (22).
Home / Away
Dowd
Nylander
Home
58.2% (462)
48.7% (39)
Away
49.3% (481)
57.7% (26)
By Period
Dowd
Nylander
P1
55.6%
47.8%
P2
50.5%
52.0%
P3
53.9%
53.3%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.1%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |