Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 48.3% vs Sharangovich 41.5% (+9.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sharangovich 92.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 75.2%
Neutral zone
Dowd 50.4%
Result
Yegor Sharangovich favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Dowd
Sharangovich
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Dowd
Sharangovich
Last 6: Dowd 3-3 Sharangovich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sharangovich
0
1
Dowd
Sharangovich
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
2
Dowd
Sharangovich
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Sharangovich
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (778)
38.1% (291)
+11.1%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
43.8% (16)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (234)
44.1% (34)
-0.1%
On power play, Dowd has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sharangovich shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Dowd shoots right. Sharangovich is 42.3% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Dowd
Sharangovich
Home
46.3% (492)
46.8% (171)
Away
49.8% (532)
31.2% (170)
By Period
Dowd
Sharangovich
P1
49.1%
37.3%
P2
48.2%
42.2%
P3
46.9%
37.4%
Final 5 min
45.7%
34.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Sharangovich
44.0%▲
39.0%
39.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2024 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2 | 17:55 | Neutral | Yegor Sharangovich |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Yegor Sharangovich |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2 | 08:21 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 06:50 | Neutral | Yegor Sharangovich |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 1 | 07:30 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |