Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dowd 49.9% vs Sharangovich 47.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sharangovich 88.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 84.1%
Neutral zone
Dowd 71.5%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Dowd
Sharangovich
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Dowd
Sharangovich
Last 5: Dowd 4-1 Sharangovich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sharangovich
0
1
Dowd
Sharangovich
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
3
0
Dowd
Sharangovich
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
0
Dowd
Sharangovich
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dowd
Sharangovich
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (835)
43.1% (269)
+9.1%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
62.9% (35)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (350)
61.5% (13)
-17.5%
On penalty kill, Sharangovich has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sharangovich shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Dowd shoots right. Sharangovich is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Dowd
Sharangovich
Home
51.5% (619)
44.8% (145)
Away
48.1% (576)
47.1% (172)
By Period
Dowd
Sharangovich
P1
51.7%
46.5%
P2
51.6%
47.7%
P3
47.0%
43.3%
OT
22.2%
66.7%
Final 5 min
48.1%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Sharangovich
44.0%▲
39.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:33 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:31 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 2 | 07:02 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 17:58 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 1 | 15:16 | Offensive | Yegor Sharangovich |