Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.4% vs 48.9%). Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 48.5% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 71.3%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 60.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 52.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Cizikas
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cizikas
Bjugstad
Last 5: Cizikas 1-4 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Cizikas
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
Cizikas
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (775)
48.3% (937)
+2.7%
Power Play
56.7% (30)
56.1% (148)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
37.4% (206)
34.2% (38)
+3.2%
On penalty kill, Cizikas has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Cizikas is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Cizikas shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Bjugstad
Home
52.7% (490)
50.5% (574)
Away
44.3% (521)
47.2% (549)
By Period
Cizikas
Bjugstad
P1
46.6%
52.4%
P2
47.5%
46.8%
P3
51.1%
45.5%
OT
50.0%
78.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
48.4%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 19:14 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 1 | 07:39 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 1 | 07:51 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 14, 2014 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |