Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.9% vs 46.3%). Look for Vilardi on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vilardi 46.5% vs Bjugstad 47.3% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Vilardi leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 55.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 55.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 57.5%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Vilardi
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Vilardi
Bjugstad
Last 10: Vilardi 8-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
3
1
Vilardi
Bjugstad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vilardi
3
1
Vilardi
Bjugstad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vilardi
4
2
Vilardi
Bjugstad
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vilardi
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (564)
45.8% (238)
-0.6%
Power Play
53.3% (45)
50.0% (30)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (25)
50.0% (2)
-2.0%
On power play, Vilardi has a +3.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Vilardi is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (152).
Vilardi shoots right. Bjugstad is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Vilardi
Bjugstad
Home
47.3% (330)
48.9% (133)
Away
44.4% (304)
43.8% (137)
By Period
Vilardi
Bjugstad
P1
49.0%
50.0%
P2
43.2%
40.6%
P3
45.7%
49.4%
Final 5 min
48.9%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
45.9%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2021 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 2 | 15:15 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 2 | 12:03 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 3 | 16:55 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 2 | 03:19 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 12:28 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 12:25 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 3 | 02:03 | Defensive | Gabriel Vilardi |