Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 51.1% vs Bjugstad 44.4% (+11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 67.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 93.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 81.1%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 80.5%
80.5%
19.5%
Thompson
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Thompson
Bjugstad
Last 7: Thompson 5-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
2
Thompson
Bjugstad
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Bjugstad
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
0
Thompson
Bjugstad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (462)
37.8% (119)
+14.8%
Power Play
80.0% (10)
60.0% (10)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (133)
66.7% (3)
-22.3%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Thompson is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Thompson shoots left. Bjugstad is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (93).
Home / Away
Thompson
Bjugstad
Home
52.5% (324)
40.7% (59)
Away
49.8% (281)
39.7% (73)
By Period
Thompson
Bjugstad
P1
49.0%
44.7%
P2
55.4%
38.1%
P3
48.3%
37.2%
Final 5 min
50.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 12:12 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 11:24 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 05:47 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 01:54 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 1 | 05:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |