Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Stastny 55.1% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 77.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 73.3%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 75.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 74.9%
74.9%
25.1%
Bjugstad
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Bjugstad
Stastny
Last 10: Bjugstad 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Bjugstad
Stastny
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Bjugstad
Stastny
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
6
Bjugstad
Stastny
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,566)
54.6% (10,616)
-6.0%
Power Play
55.2% (828)
59.1% (1,994)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (612)
52.9% (1,119)
-8.8%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,695).
Bjugstad shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Stastny
Home
50.0% (3,981)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
48.0% (4,025)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Bjugstad
Stastny
P1
49.1%
56.3%
P2
49.0%
55.4%
P3
48.4%
53.5%
OT
61.3%
62.9%
Final 5 min
47.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
44.0%▼
49.0%
49.0%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 9, 2018 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Oct 12, 2017 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 3 | 07:53 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 3 | 18:37 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 24, 2014 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 16:16 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 06:44 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 13:42 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |