Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Bjugstad wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 53.8% vs Stastny 55.4% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 64.0%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 66.4%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 51.4%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Bjugstad
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Bjugstad
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Bjugstad
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (245)
59.2% (370)
-3.3%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
40.9% (44)
-40.9%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
51.7% (58)
+5.4%
On power play, Stastny has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Bjugstad is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (198).
Bjugstad shoots right. Stastny is 58.6% vs right-shot opponents (186).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Stastny
Home
53.2% (111)
57.7% (215)
Away
56.9% (144)
55.6% (257)
By Period
Bjugstad
Stastny
P1
44.6%
57.7%
P2
61.4%
54.2%
P3
61.3%
57.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2021 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |