Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.0% vs Stastny 56.3% (-9.8%)
Offensive zone
Stastny 87.9%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 75.5%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 53.0%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Bjugstad
Stastny
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (867)
57.5% (412)
-8.1%
Power Play
56.0% (25)
60.0% (65)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
40.7% (216)
44.4% (9)
-3.7%
On even strength, Stastny has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (796).
Bjugstad shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Stastny
Home
46.5% (480)
58.3% (276)
Away
48.9% (628)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Bjugstad
Stastny
P1
48.7%
63.7%
P2
45.6%
57.3%
P3
49.1%
50.4%
Final 5 min
45.0%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%