Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Stastny 53.8% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 76.7%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 75.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 78.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Bjugstad
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Bjugstad
Stastny
Last 10: Bjugstad 2-8 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
2
Bjugstad
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bjugstad
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
5
Bjugstad
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (937)
53.2% (995)
-4.9%
Power Play
56.1% (148)
57.6% (158)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
34.2% (38)
61.4% (57)
-27.2%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Bjugstad shoots right. Stastny is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (472).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Stastny
Home
50.5% (574)
55.1% (586)
Away
47.2% (549)
53.2% (624)
By Period
Bjugstad
Stastny
P1
52.4%
54.7%
P2
46.8%
53.1%
P3
45.5%
54.2%
OT
78.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.4%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2014 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 16:16 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 06:44 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 18:33 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 02:22 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 13:53 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 13:42 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 07:54 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |