Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.3% vs Hintz 55.3% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 88.5%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 56.5%
Neutral zone
Hintz 66.2%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Bjugstad
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Bjugstad
Hintz
Last 7: Bjugstad 4-3 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
2
3
Bjugstad
Hintz
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
0
Bjugstad
Hintz
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (906)
56.3% (512)
-5.6%
Power Play
48.1% (108)
63.3% (30)
-15.2%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (239)
45.8% (24)
-1.4%
On power play, Hintz has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (906).
Bjugstad shoots right. Hintz is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Hintz
Home
49.8% (643)
57.3% (262)
Away
48.7% (610)
55.3% (304)
By Period
Bjugstad
Hintz
P1
49.4%
54.8%
P2
50.5%
56.0%
P3
47.9%
57.5%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
48.2%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.2%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 08:00 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 3 | 06:29 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 20, 2024 | 2 | 07:34 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |