Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 47.9% vs Hintz 53.5% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 57.2%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 58.8%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 59.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 58.0%
58.0%
42.0%
Bjugstad
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Bjugstad
Hintz
Last 7: Bjugstad 3-4 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
1
Bjugstad
Hintz
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
2
Bjugstad
Hintz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
1
Bjugstad
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (398)
53.6% (711)
-6.9%
Power Play
51.6% (31)
53.8% (93)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
58.7% (46)
+3.8%
On even strength, Hintz has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Bjugstad shoots right. Hintz is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Hintz
Home
47.3% (220)
52.6% (460)
Away
47.5% (217)
55.4% (390)
By Period
Bjugstad
Hintz
P1
46.1%
59.0%
P2
46.3%
52.7%
P3
50.4%
51.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:37 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Jan 4, 2025 | 1 | 17:24 | Neutral | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 13:58 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 2 | 13:21 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 2 | 05:11 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 2 | 04:57 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |