Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Bjugstad wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 49.0% vs Bozak 53.0% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 65.6%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 68.6%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 64.8%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Bjugstad
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Bjugstad
Bozak
Last 5: Bjugstad 1-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bjugstad
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Bjugstad
Bozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Bjugstad
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (806)
53.8% (1,244)
-6.5%
Power Play
55.0% (149)
53.1% (356)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
59.0% (39)
49.1% (175)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Bjugstad is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (301).
Bjugstad shoots right. Bozak is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Bozak
Home
55.4% (446)
57.7% (892)
Away
43.6% (548)
48.6% (883)
By Period
Bjugstad
Bozak
P1
49.4%
54.0%
P2
48.1%
54.4%
P3
48.6%
51.0%
OT
61.1%
56.4%
Final 5 min
48.4%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 00:22 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 1 | 19:14 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 28, 2014 | 3 | 15:28 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |