Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Bjugstad wins 57.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 53.8% vs Bozak 46.2% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 55.0%
Defensive zone
Bozak 51.3%
Neutral zone
Bozak 54.2%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Bjugstad
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Bjugstad
Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Bjugstad
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (245)
46.7% (338)
+9.2%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
50.0% (6)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
32.6% (43)
+24.5%
On power play, Bozak has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Bjugstad is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (57).
Bjugstad shoots right. Bozak is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (140).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Bozak
Home
53.2% (111)
47.9% (194)
Away
56.9% (144)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Bjugstad
Bozak
P1
44.6%
40.2%
P2
61.4%
51.4%
P3
61.3%
43.1%
Final 5 min
50.8%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
55.3%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |