Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings). Bjugstad wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.9% vs Bozak 53.4% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 27-23 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 63.1%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 65.3%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 63.5%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Bjugstad
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
27
(50 meetings)
23
27
Bjugstad
Bozak
Last 10: Bjugstad 4-6 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
12
4
Bjugstad
Bozak
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
3
11
Bjugstad
Bozak
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
8
12
Bjugstad
Bozak
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (6,634)
53.7% (9,596)
-5.1%
Power Play
55.2% (829)
55.2% (1,990)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (614)
48.0% (1,094)
-3.7%
On even strength, Bozak has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Bjugstad is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,330).
Bjugstad shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Bozak
Home
49.8% (4,020)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
48.1% (4,057)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Bjugstad
Bozak
P1
49.0%
53.2%
P2
49.1%
52.8%
P3
48.4%
54.5%
OT
61.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
47.3%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| May 13, 2021 | 3 | 02:53 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| May 13, 2021 | 2 | 02:57 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 04:10 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 20, 2018 | 2 | 14:34 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 04:38 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 19:06 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 17:54 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 2 | 09:46 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 4, 2016 | 2 | 09:33 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |