Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Bjugstad wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 48.1% vs Bozak 56.2% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 51.3%
Defensive zone
Bozak 57.7%
Neutral zone
Bozak 53.8%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Bjugstad
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Bjugstad
Bozak
Last 10: Bjugstad 5-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
1
Bjugstad
Bozak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
1
4
Bjugstad
Bozak
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
2
1
Bjugstad
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (340)
56.5% (1,119)
-10.3%
Power Play
58.0% (50)
58.4% (226)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.0% (20)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Bjugstad is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (127).
Bjugstad shoots right. Bozak is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Bozak
Home
49.4% (237)
60.1% (682)
Away
44.8% (154)
53.2% (684)
By Period
Bjugstad
Bozak
P1
46.4%
57.7%
P2
50.4%
53.7%
P3
45.6%
59.0%
OT
100.0%
55.0%
Final 5 min
47.1%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.6%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 04:38 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 28, 2017 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 19:06 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 14:02 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 17:54 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |