Scouting Report
Nick Bjugstad holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 47.9% vs Kozak 47.8% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 57.2%
Defensive zone
Kozak 51.2%
Neutral zone
Kozak 53.2%
Result
Tyson Kozak favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Bjugstad
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Bjugstad
Kozak
Last 6: Bjugstad 4-2 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
0
Bjugstad
Kozak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
2
Bjugstad
Kozak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (398)
46.0% (137)
+0.7%
Power Play
51.6% (31)
66.7% (3)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
40.0% (5)
+22.5%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Bjugstad is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Bjugstad shoots right. Kozak is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Kozak
Home
47.3% (220)
51.2% (84)
Away
47.5% (217)
39.3% (61)
By Period
Bjugstad
Kozak
P1
46.1%
57.1%
P2
46.3%
34.7%
P3
50.4%
48.1%
Final 5 min
46.7%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
47.4%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 03:42 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:48 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 02:42 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyson Kozak |