Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Bonino 52.3% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 89.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 58.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 71.9%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Henrique
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Henrique
Bonino
Last 10: Henrique 8-2 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
0
Henrique
Bonino
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Henrique
Bonino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (740)
52.0% (717)
+1.5%
Power Play
65.9% (132)
62.7% (67)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (57)
50.7% (144)
+0.2%
On power play, Henrique has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Henrique is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Henrique shoots left. Bonino is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Henrique
Bonino
Home
57.4% (467)
54.8% (429)
Away
52.7% (463)
50.7% (499)
By Period
Henrique
Bonino
P1
55.4%
53.5%
P2
56.7%
49.5%
P3
54.0%
54.8%
OT
22.2%
45.5%
Final 5 min
51.2%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 15:50 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 09:52 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 07:50 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 08:08 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 1 | 03:15 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 2 | 06:39 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 22, 2019 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |