Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Bonino 52.5% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 52.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 79.2%
Neutral zone
Bonino 63.9%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 58.7%
41.3%
58.7%
Henrique
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
11
(17 meetings)
6
11
Henrique
Bonino
Last 10: Henrique 5-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
5
Henrique
Bonino
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
4
Henrique
Bonino
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Henrique
Bonino
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (445)
54.9% (395)
-0.3%
Power Play
61.3% (75)
60.9% (110)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
43.5% (186)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Henrique is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (373).
Henrique shoots left. Bonino is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (469).
Home / Away
Henrique
Bonino
Home
58.1% (310)
52.3% (363)
Away
51.9% (237)
53.4% (328)
By Period
Henrique
Bonino
P1
56.1%
52.0%
P2
53.6%
56.1%
P3
55.7%
51.5%
OT
71.4%
25.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.4%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2021 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 02:36 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 19:55 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 17:46 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 05:14 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 05:48 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 19:10 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 00:22 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 03:59 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |