Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.8% vs 54.3%). Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Horvat wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 53.5% vs Bonino 53.9% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 72.4%
Defensive zone
Bonino 58.6%
Neutral zone
Bonino 53.7%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Horvat
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Horvat
Bonino
Last 9: Horvat 2-7 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
1
0
Horvat
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Horvat
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
5
Horvat
Bonino
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (994)
56.4% (771)
-3.3%
Power Play
57.1% (212)
60.0% (30)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
53.4% (118)
43.8% (169)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Horvat has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Horvat is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (861).
Horvat shoots left. Bonino is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Horvat
Bonino
Home
53.0% (673)
56.5% (531)
Away
54.5% (651)
51.7% (439)
By Period
Horvat
Bonino
P1
51.9%
56.7%
P2
54.8%
48.1%
P3
54.3%
58.0%
OT
58.3%
52.6%
Final 5 min
50.9%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
53.8%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 17:45 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 15:21 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 3 | 11:54 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Bo Horvat |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 2 | 06:27 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 2, 2018 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 30, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |