Scouting Report
Boone Jenner holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Jenner on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Jenner wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jenner 49.5% vs Bonino 47.6% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jenner 53.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 69.7%
Neutral zone
Jenner 51.1%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Jenner
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Jenner
Bonino
Last 9: Jenner 4-5 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jenner
3
2
Jenner
Bonino
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Jenner
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jenner
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jenner
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
49.1% (234)
48.2% (926)
+0.9%
Power Play
51.2% (43)
48.6% (109)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (29)
43.3% (210)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Jenner has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Jenner is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Jenner shoots left. Bonino is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Home / Away
Jenner
Bonino
Home
55.8% (138)
47.8% (653)
Away
44.0% (168)
47.0% (592)
By Period
Jenner
Bonino
P1
53.8%
45.9%
P2
47.2%
47.0%
P3
48.0%
49.4%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jenner
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 01:01 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 00:48 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 15:16 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 00:24 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 16:06 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 1 | 03:58 | Offensive | Boone Jenner |