Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gambrell wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gambrell 46.8% vs Bonino 52.3% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gambrell 65.2%
Defensive zone
Gambrell 57.4%
Neutral zone
Gambrell 58.6%
Result
Dylan Gambrell favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Gambrell
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Gambrell
Bonino
Last 6: Gambrell 2-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gambrell
1
0
Gambrell
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Gambrell
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Gambrell
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gambrell
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (303)
52.0% (717)
-5.8%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
62.7% (67)
-31.4%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (51)
50.7% (144)
-1.7%
On power play, Bonino has a +31.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Gambrell is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (269).
Gambrell shoots right. Bonino is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Home / Away
Gambrell
Bonino
Home
42.6% (188)
54.8% (429)
Away
49.5% (182)
50.7% (499)
By Period
Gambrell
Bonino
P1
46.1%
53.5%
P2
53.5%
49.5%
P3
37.5%
54.8%
OT
0.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gambrell
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 19:18 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 3 | 12:00 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 10, 2019 | 1 | 18:49 | Offensive | Dylan Gambrell |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 02:50 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 3 | 18:19 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 8, 2019 | 3 | 07:24 | Neutral | Dylan Gambrell |