Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 58.1% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.8% vs Bonino 48.1% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 54.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 74.8%
Neutral zone
Bonino 54.5%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Lindholm
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Lindholm
Bonino
Last 5: Lindholm 2-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Lindholm
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (494)
48.7% (917)
+5.3%
Power Play
66.3% (83)
53.2% (94)
+13.1%
Penalty Kill
53.4% (58)
42.1% (202)
+11.3%
On power play, Lindholm has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Lindholm is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Lindholm shoots right. Bonino is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (432).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Bonino
Home
60.2% (314)
51.0% (629)
Away
51.1% (321)
44.7% (584)
By Period
Lindholm
Bonino
P1
59.8%
49.0%
P2
53.9%
45.4%
P3
52.7%
50.2%
OT
66.7%
23.1%
Final 5 min
52.6%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
55.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 18:15 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 08:57 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Dec 28, 2016 | 1 | 16:02 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |