Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.1% vs 43.0%). Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Skinner wins 44.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Skinner 45.2% vs Bonino 44.2% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 50.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 60.6%
Neutral zone
Bonino 54.0%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Skinner
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Skinner
Bonino
Last 6: Skinner 2-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Skinner
1
0
Skinner
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
2
Skinner
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
2
Skinner
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Skinner
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
41.6% (149)
43.3% (423)
-1.7%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
45.5% (22)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
20.0% (5)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Skinner has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Skinner is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Skinner shoots left. Bonino is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (301).
Home / Away
Skinner
Bonino
Home
46.8% (77)
44.1% (222)
Away
37.8% (82)
41.8% (232)
By Period
Skinner
Bonino
P1
45.6%
43.9%
P2
40.4%
43.4%
P3
40.4%
41.6%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
41.2%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Skinner
44.0%▬
44.5%
42.1%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 13:52 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 3 | 10:42 | Offensive | Jeff Skinner |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 2 | 14:57 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 1 | 17:57 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 1 | 11:52 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 8, 2012 | 1 | 01:10 | Neutral | Jeff Skinner |