Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Draisaitl wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Draisaitl 42.9% vs Bonino 47.6% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 77.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 66.9%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 58.2%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Draisaitl
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Draisaitl
Bonino
Last 5: Draisaitl 1-4 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Draisaitl
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
3
Draisaitl
Bonino
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
0
Draisaitl
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Draisaitl
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
41.5% (270)
48.2% (926)
-6.7%
Power Play
35.6% (45)
48.6% (109)
-13.0%
On power play, Bonino has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Draisaitl is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Draisaitl shoots left. Bonino is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Home / Away
Draisaitl
Bonino
Home
45.1% (164)
47.8% (653)
Away
35.8% (151)
47.0% (592)
By Period
Draisaitl
Bonino
P1
48.1%
45.9%
P2
34.8%
47.0%
P3
39.4%
49.4%
Final 5 min
33.3%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
40.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2014 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 1, 2014 | 1 | 15:08 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 11, 2014 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |