Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Duchene wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 61.5% vs Bonino 48.1% (+14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 54.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 57.4%
Neutral zone
Bonino 56.7%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Duchene
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Duchene
Bonino
Last 5: Duchene 2-3 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Bonino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
Duchene
Bonino
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Bonino
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
62.2% (802)
48.7% (917)
+13.5%
Power Play
67.3% (153)
53.2% (94)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
59.4% (143)
42.1% (202)
+17.3%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Duchene is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Duchene shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (781).
Home / Away
Duchene
Bonino
Home
66.5% (555)
51.0% (629)
Away
58.6% (543)
44.7% (584)
By Period
Duchene
Bonino
P1
63.2%
49.0%
P2
59.6%
45.4%
P3
65.0%
50.2%
OT
71.4%
23.1%
Final 5 min
65.9%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
62.6%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 01:12 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 00:51 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 09:18 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 1 | 02:51 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 17, 2016 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |