Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sturm on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.2% vs Sturm 52.5% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 65.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 55.0%
Neutral zone
Bonino 62.5%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Bonino
Sturm
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Bonino
Sturm
Last 5: Bonino 0-5 Sturm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
3
Bonino
Sturm
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Bonino
Sturm
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sturm
0
1
Bonino
Sturm
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (777)
54.0% (480)
-2.3%
Power Play
60.0% (50)
28.6% (7)
+31.4%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (98)
50.0% (102)
-6.1%
On power play, Bonino has a +31.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Bonino shoots left. Sturm is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Bonino
Sturm
Home
48.2% (461)
54.0% (287)
Away
54.5% (464)
52.0% (302)
By Period
Bonino
Sturm
P1
54.1%
53.5%
P2
49.7%
51.0%
P3
50.7%
55.1%
OT
40.0%
20.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 31, 2022 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 14:17 | Offensive | Nico Sturm |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Nico Sturm |
| Nov 16, 2021 | 2 | 05:25 | Neutral | Nico Sturm |