Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Bonino wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.5% vs Sturm 55.2% (-7.6%)
Offensive zone
Bonino 60.6%
Defensive zone
Sturm 58.1%
Neutral zone
Sturm 53.9%
Result
Nico Sturm favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Bonino
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (324)
56.1% (716)
-8.0%
Power Play
57.9% (38)
67.7% (31)
-9.8%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
51.1% (133)
-6.8%
On power play, Sturm has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Bonino shoots left. Sturm is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (592).
Home / Away
Bonino
Sturm
Home
52.0% (244)
55.6% (412)
Away
43.7% (206)
56.0% (468)
By Period
Bonino
Sturm
P1
48.0%
59.6%
P2
42.9%
52.0%
P3
53.9%
55.5%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.8%