Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.2% vs Dubois 47.1% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 54.0%
Defensive zone
Bonino 85.0%
Neutral zone
Bonino 73.5%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Bonino
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Bonino
Dubois
Last 7: Bonino 5-2 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
0
Bonino
Dubois
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
1
Bonino
Dubois
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Bonino
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (777)
46.1% (1,050)
+5.6%
Power Play
60.0% (50)
58.0% (81)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (98)
25.0% (4)
+18.9%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +18.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Bonino shoots left. Dubois is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (778).
Home / Away
Bonino
Dubois
Home
48.2% (461)
47.0% (581)
Away
54.5% (464)
46.8% (554)
By Period
Bonino
Dubois
P1
54.1%
46.9%
P2
49.7%
50.1%
P3
50.7%
43.9%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Dubois
42.0%▼
47.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2021 | 3 | 02:42 | Defensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 09:21 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 30, 2021 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 3 | 13:28 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 19:54 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 10:43 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |