Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Dubois on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.8% vs Dubois 49.7% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 82.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 72.9%
Neutral zone
Bonino 51.5%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Bonino
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Bonino
Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
1
2
Bonino
Dubois
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (305)
49.3% (842)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (101)
55.6% (9)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Dubois has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Bonino is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Bonino shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Bonino
Dubois
Home
53.1% (177)
51.0% (445)
Away
49.3% (229)
48.3% (441)
By Period
Bonino
Dubois
P1
55.9%
50.3%
P2
49.6%
49.5%
P3
47.6%
49.0%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
42.7%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Dubois
44.0%▼
51.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 08:27 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 13:35 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |