Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Bonino wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 52.3% vs Thomas 44.6% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 58.2%
Defensive zone
Bonino 92.0%
Neutral zone
Bonino 74.7%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Bonino
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Bonino
Thomas
Last 10: Bonino 7-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bonino
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
2
Bonino
Thomas
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (717)
42.1% (297)
+9.9%
Power Play
62.7% (67)
50.0% (16)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (144)
75.0% (4)
-24.3%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Bonino is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (381).
Bonino shoots left. Thomas is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Bonino
Thomas
Home
54.8% (429)
40.9% (186)
Away
50.7% (499)
45.8% (131)
By Period
Bonino
Thomas
P1
53.5%
43.3%
P2
49.5%
40.6%
P3
54.8%
45.3%
OT
45.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.6%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2020 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 03:24 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 16:41 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 06:29 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 1 | 03:16 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 01:35 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 11:37 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 03:50 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |