Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bonino wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.2% vs Thomas 49.9% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thomas 64.8%
Defensive zone
Bonino 76.0%
Neutral zone
Bonino 60.6%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Bonino
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Bonino
Thomas
Last 8: Bonino 5-3 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Bonino
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
1
Bonino
Thomas
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (777)
49.0% (910)
+2.7%
Power Play
60.0% (50)
53.5% (142)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (98)
53.3% (75)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Bonino is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Bonino shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Bonino
Thomas
Home
48.2% (461)
47.3% (514)
Away
54.5% (464)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Bonino
Thomas
P1
54.1%
50.4%
P2
49.7%
47.5%
P3
50.7%
51.4%
OT
40.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 07:33 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 01:09 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 3 | 08:17 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 12:26 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 04:20 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 08:49 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |