Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Bonino wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 52.5% vs Thomas 44.6% (+10.2%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bonino 74.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 94.1%
Neutral zone
Bonino 79.9%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 86.8%
86.8%
13.2%
Bonino
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Bonino
Thomas
Last 10: Bonino 8-2 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Bonino
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
6
0
Bonino
Thomas
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (395)
42.5% (252)
+12.4%
Power Play
60.9% (110)
44.4% (9)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (186)
50.0% (2)
-6.5%
On power play, Bonino has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Bonino is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (222).
Bonino shoots left. Thomas is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Bonino
Thomas
Home
52.3% (363)
44.8% (125)
Away
53.4% (328)
40.6% (138)
By Period
Bonino
Thomas
P1
52.0%
43.2%
P2
56.1%
44.6%
P3
51.5%
40.2%
OT
25.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 09:33 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 29, 2021 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 15:24 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 15:16 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Apr 28, 2021 | 3 | 07:35 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 00:01 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |