Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.2%). Bonino wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.5% vs McLeod 48.4% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 57.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 61.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 51.6%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Bonino
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Bonino
McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
0
1
Bonino
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
McLeod
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (324)
49.0% (500)
-0.9%
Power Play
57.9% (38)
43.8% (48)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
44.0% (50)
+0.3%
On power play, Bonino has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Bonino shoots left. McLeod is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Bonino
McLeod
Home
52.0% (244)
50.9% (291)
Away
43.7% (206)
45.6% (307)
By Period
Bonino
McLeod
P1
48.0%
44.3%
P2
42.9%
52.4%
P3
53.9%
47.8%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 13, 2023 | 2 | 04:51 | Defensive | Ryan McLeod |