Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.8%). Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.8% vs McLeod 50.7% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 80.4%
Defensive zone
Bonino 67.6%
Neutral zone
McLeod 55.1%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Bonino
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Bonino
McLeod
Last 5: Bonino 4-1 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
1
Bonino
McLeod
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (305)
51.3% (628)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (101)
30.6% (49)
+17.9%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Bonino is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Bonino shoots left. McLeod is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Home / Away
Bonino
McLeod
Home
53.1% (177)
51.5% (394)
Away
49.3% (229)
50.0% (324)
By Period
Bonino
McLeod
P1
55.9%
51.5%
P2
49.6%
47.0%
P3
47.6%
54.3%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
McLeod
52.0%▬
51.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 09:22 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 12:05 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 06:05 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 13:38 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 13:30 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |