Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Bonino wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.2% vs Carrick 49.5% (+2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 50.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 51.8%
Neutral zone
Bonino 52.3%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Bonino
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Bonino
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Bonino
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (777)
48.9% (352)
+2.8%
Power Play
60.0% (50)
81.3% (16)
-21.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (98)
42.2% (45)
+1.7%
On power play, Carrick has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Bonino is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Bonino shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Bonino
Carrick
Home
48.2% (461)
46.9% (192)
Away
54.5% (464)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Bonino
Carrick
P1
54.1%
48.1%
P2
49.7%
50.0%
P3
50.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2022 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 11:34 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 22, 2022 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |