Scouting Report
Sam Carrick holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.5% vs Carrick 49.5% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 55.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 66.4%
Neutral zone
Carrick 57.0%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Bonino
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Bonino
Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (324)
49.2% (307)
-1.1%
Power Play
57.9% (38)
66.7% (6)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
48.2% (56)
-3.9%
On power play, Carrick has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Bonino is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Bonino shoots left. Carrick is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
Bonino
Carrick
Home
52.0% (244)
50.3% (175)
Away
43.7% (206)
48.5% (194)
By Period
Bonino
Carrick
P1
48.0%
41.0%
P2
42.9%
51.2%
P3
53.9%
55.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2022 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |