Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Reinhart on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bonino wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Reinhart shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.2% vs Reinhart 48.8% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 81.2%
Defensive zone
Bonino 60.6%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 60.6%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Bonino
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Bonino
Reinhart
Last 5: Bonino 1-4 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
3
Bonino
Reinhart
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bonino
Reinhart
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (777)
48.0% (275)
+3.7%
Power Play
60.0% (50)
48.1% (52)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (98)
53.1% (32)
-9.2%
On power play, Bonino has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Bonino is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Bonino shoots left. Reinhart is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (274).
Home / Away
Bonino
Reinhart
Home
48.2% (461)
49.8% (201)
Away
54.5% (464)
46.8% (158)
By Period
Bonino
Reinhart
P1
54.1%
54.8%
P2
49.7%
40.5%
P3
50.7%
50.0%
OT
40.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2022 | OT | 01:07 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 04:03 | Defensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |