Scouting Report
Sam Reinhart holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.5% vs Reinhart 50.5% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Reinhart 66.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 68.5%
Neutral zone
Reinhart 50.2%
Result
Sam Reinhart favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Bonino
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Bonino
Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Reinhart
0
2
Bonino
Reinhart
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Reinhart
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (324)
49.4% (259)
-1.3%
Power Play
57.9% (38)
54.4% (136)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
47.9% (71)
-3.6%
On penalty kill, Reinhart has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Bonino is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Bonino shoots left. Reinhart is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Bonino
Reinhart
Home
52.0% (244)
54.9% (235)
Away
43.7% (206)
46.3% (231)
By Period
Bonino
Reinhart
P1
48.0%
52.3%
P2
42.9%
50.0%
P3
53.9%
50.0%
OT
66.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2023 | 2 | 02:50 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 19:53 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 1 | 17:40 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |