Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.8% vs 52.8%). Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 52.5% vs Steel 52.3% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 15-10 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 68.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 74.6%
Neutral zone
Steel 54.7%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Bonino
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
10
(25 meetings)
15
10
Bonino
Steel
Last 10: Bonino 6-4 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Bonino
Steel
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
7
2
Bonino
Steel
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Bonino
Steel
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (395)
51.6% (401)
+3.3%
Power Play
60.9% (110)
66.7% (39)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (186)
44.4% (9)
-0.9%
On power play, Steel has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Bonino is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (469).
Bonino shoots left. Steel is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Bonino
Steel
Home
52.3% (363)
55.8% (206)
Away
53.4% (328)
50.2% (243)
By Period
Bonino
Steel
P1
52.0%
57.0%
P2
56.1%
50.7%
P3
51.5%
51.0%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.8%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 05:29 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 11:51 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Feb 20, 2021 | 2 | 03:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 18:20 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 11:58 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 16:42 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 15:47 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 3 | 10:31 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |