Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.2%). Look for Steel on neutral-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Steel 50.2% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Steel leads 28-21 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Steel 65.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 64.8%
Neutral zone
Steel 54.8%
Result
Sam Steel favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Bonino
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
28
(49 meetings)
21
28
Bonino
Steel
Last 10: Bonino 3-7 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Steel
6
10
Bonino
Steel
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
10
5
Bonino
Steel
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
5
13
Bonino
Steel
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
50.6% (2,876)
+0.0%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
62.6% (179)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
37.4% (254)
+7.2%
On power play, Steel has a +8.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Bonino shoots left. Steel is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,072).
Home / Away
Bonino
Steel
Home
51.2% (5,507)
50.0% (1,560)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
50.4% (1,749)
By Period
Bonino
Steel
P1
50.6%
51.9%
P2
48.5%
49.5%
P3
51.1%
49.6%
OT
45.7%
41.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:44 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 3 | 15:55 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 26, 2022 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 01:41 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 17:00 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| May 7, 2021 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 05:29 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Steel |