Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.2% vs 48.7%). Look for Steel on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Bonino wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Steel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.5% vs Steel 48.8% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Steel 60.0%
Defensive zone
Bonino 70.9%
Neutral zone
Bonino 50.4%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 55.5%
55.5%
44.5%
Bonino
Steel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Bonino
Steel
Last 8: Bonino 2-6 Steel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bonino
Steel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
0
3
Bonino
Steel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Steel
1
2
Bonino
Steel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Steel
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (324)
49.5% (553)
-1.4%
Power Play
57.9% (38)
61.3% (31)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
30.6% (49)
+13.7%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Steel shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Bonino shoots left. Steel is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Bonino
Steel
Home
52.0% (244)
46.4% (347)
Away
43.7% (206)
51.4% (286)
By Period
Bonino
Steel
P1
48.0%
52.1%
P2
42.9%
49.8%
P3
53.9%
45.2%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 18:49 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:54 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:44 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 08:22 | Neutral | Sam Steel |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Sam Steel |